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Codan Limited
Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments
Updated 1 hour ago
$32.02
Codan Limited develops technology solutions for United Nations organizations, security and military agencies, government departments, corporates, individuals consumers, and small-scale miners.
View full descriptionThe Warsi Rating combines two proven approaches: value investing principles and dividend strategy. A stock must score 70+ on both to be rated Solid or higher.
MARKET CAP
$5.82B
P/E RATIO
56.5
DIV. YIELD
1.1%
FRANKING
100%
10-year ROE trends, dividend history, price ceiling calculations, and every red flag explained.
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Strong 23.0% average with no year below 12%. Consistent performance signals durable competitive advantage.
Current Snapshot
10Y Avg
23.0%
Threshold
12.0%
Worst Year
16.0%
Why It Matters
ROE shows how effectively management turns shareholder capital into profit. High and stable ROE can signal pricing power, cost discipline, or both.
Formula
Net Income / Shareholders' Equity x 100Method
Use the 10-year average ROE and review the weakest year to check whether returns stayed resilient across cycles.
Worked Example
This company's 10-year average ROE is 23.0%, meaning each $1 of shareholder equity generates $0.23 in annual profit. The threshold is 12%, and the worst single year was 16.0%.
How to Interpret
Higher and steadier ROE generally supports stronger long-term compounding. Large drawdowns in weak years can point to fragility.
At 23.0% ROE, every $1 retained by this company generates $0.23 in annual profit. This compounding power drives long-term wealth - and for dividend investors, it typically means sustainable dividend growth without needing debt.
Sources
How much the company owes vs. what it owns
Acceptable. Debt level (0.31) is within this Buffett-inspired framework's limit of 0.5.
Current Snapshot
Current D/E
0.31x
Industry Limit
0.50x
Headroom
+0.19x
Why It Matters
Debt-to-equity shows balance-sheet risk. Lower leverage usually means more flexibility when earnings soften.
Formula
Total Debt / Shareholders' EquityMethod
Compare current D/E against the industry threshold used in the scoring framework, then assess remaining headroom.
Worked Example
This company's D/E is 0.31, meaning it carries 31 cents of debt for every $1 of equity. The technology & software limit is 0.50, leaving 0.19 of headroom.
How to Interpret
Lower values generally imply lower refinancing pressure and lower dividend stress in downturns.
Low debt means this company isn't at risk of cutting dividends to service loans during downturns. Your income stream is protected by a strong balance sheet.
Sources
Short-term assets vs. short-term debts
Adequate liquidity. 1.66 ratio meets Buffett's 1.5 target.
Current Snapshot
Current Ratio
1.66x
Warning Floor
1.00x
Target
1.50x
Why It Matters
Liquidity supports operational stability. Companies with weak liquidity can face pressure even when long-term fundamentals are sound.
Formula
Current Assets / Current LiabilitiesMethod
Compare the current ratio to the warning floor and target level used in the framework.
Worked Example
This company's current ratio is 1.66x — it has $1.66 in short-term assets for every $1 of short-term liabilities. The target is 1.5x, with a warning floor at 1.0x.
How to Interpret
Ratios above the target suggest healthier short-term resilience; ratios below 1.0x can indicate immediate funding risk.
Ample cash reserves mean the company can pay dividends even during temporary revenue drops. Your income has a buffer against short-term disruptions.
Sources
Real cash left after running the business
Positive cash generation. Company produces real cash after capital expenditures - can fund dividends, buybacks, or growth.
Current Snapshot
Current FCF
$84M
Pass Rule
> $0
Status
Positive
Why It Matters
Free cash flow is the cash available after core operating and capital needs. It is central to dividend capacity.
Formula
Operating Cash Flow - Capital ExpendituresMethod
Review whether free cash flow is consistently positive and whether it is sufficient relative to dividends and debt needs.
Worked Example
This company generated $84M in free cash flow — cash left after operating costs and capital expenditure. Positive FCF means dividends are funded by real cash generation.
How to Interpret
Persistently negative free cash flow can force reliance on borrowing or equity issuance to maintain payouts.
Positive cash flow means dividends are funded by actual money, not accounting profits. As Buffett says, "Cash is fact, profit is opinion." Your income is backed by real cash generation.
Sources
Profit after production costs, before overhead
Healthy 55.7% average margin suggests sustainable competitive advantage.
Current Snapshot
10Y Avg
55.7%
Threshold
40%
Worst Year
54.6%
Why It Matters
Gross margin indicates how much room a business has to absorb costs and still generate profit.
Formula
(Revenue - Cost of Goods Sold) / Revenue x 100Method
Assess both the long-term average and the weakest year. The framework checks for both level and consistency.
Worked Example
This company's 10-year average gross margin is 55.7% — it keeps 56 cents of every revenue dollar after production costs. The threshold is 40%, and the weakest year was 54.6%.
How to Interpret
Sustained high margins usually support durability. Sharp margin swings can signal weaker control or cyclical pressure.
Strong margins mean the company has pricing power. They can maintain profitability even if costs rise - protecting the dividend during inflationary periods.
Sources
Price versus estimated intrinsic value and required return thresholds.
What percentage of the stock price comes back as earnings each year
1.8% earnings yield is below the 7.5% threshold. You'd earn nearly as much from safer government bonds, which means the extra risk of owning shares isn't being compensated.
Current Snapshot
Current Yield
1.8%
Required Yield
7.5%
Spread
-5.7pp
Why It Matters
Earnings yield reframes valuation as return on price paid. It helps compare equity earnings power against lower-risk alternatives.
Formula
(Earnings per Share / Stock Price) x 100Method
Calculate current earnings yield, then compare it to the required yield for the stock's industry setting.
Worked Example
With EPS of $0.57 and a share price of $32.02, earnings yield is 1.8%. The required yield for this industry is 7.5% (based on 4.5% government bond rate plus a risk premium).
How to Interpret
A yield above the required level suggests better valuation support; below it indicates thinner compensation for equity risk.
Returns don't justify the added risk compared to safe bonds. Consider whether the dividend yield alone compensates, or wait for a better price.
Sources
How current price compares with estimated intrinsic value
How efficiently the company turns money into profit
Strong 18.3% ROIC - company creates significant value above its 9.0% cost of capital.
Current Snapshot
5Y Avg
18.3%
Threshold
11.0%
WACC Delta
+9.3pp
Why It Matters
ROIC measures capital efficiency. Businesses that repeatedly earn above their funding cost can compound value more effectively.
Formula
After-Tax Operating Profit / Invested Capital x 100Method
Use the 5-year average ROIC and compare it with industry WACC plus the required spread in this framework.
Worked Example
This company's 5-year average ROIC is 18.3%, with a cost of capital (WACC) of 9.0%. The +9.3pp spread above WACC suggests it creates value on each dollar invested.
How to Interpret
A healthy spread above WACC suggests value creation; a narrow or negative spread points to weaker capital efficiency.
Returns well above cost of capital mean this company creates real value. Your investment should compound well, supporting both growth and sustainable dividends.
Sources
Consistency of profits over time
Years of earnings needed to retire all long-term debt
How much earnings are consumed by capital expenditure
Percentage of revenue that becomes profit after all expenses
Is the business growing — and is debt being managed responsibly?
Revenue and debt both growing — check whether debt is funding productive growth or covering shortfalls. Sustainable dividends require revenue to outpace debt over time.
Current Snapshot
Revenue Change
+297.7%
Debt Change
+496.6%
Trend State
Mixed
Why It Matters
Revenue trend shows whether the business is expanding or contracting. Debt trend adds context on whether growth is being funded conservatively.
Formula
Revenue Change (%) = (Latest Revenue - Earliest Revenue) / |Earliest Revenue| x 100; Debt Change (%) = (Latest Debt - Earliest Debt) / |Earliest Debt| x 100Method
Map annual revenue history and, where relevant, annual debt history. For financial companies, debt is excluded because deposits and reserves distort this signal.
Worked Example
Revenue changed by +297.7% across the displayed period, while debt changed by +496.6%.
How to Interpret
Rising revenue with stable or falling debt is typically stronger than rising revenue funded by rapidly rising leverage.
Revenue and debt both growing — check whether debt is funding productive growth or covering shortfalls. Sustainable dividends require revenue to outpace debt over time.
Sources
0.75% yield is well below the 6% target. Not suitable for Barsi's income strategy.
Current Snapshot
6Y Avg Yield
0.8%
6% Requirement
6.0%
Gross Yield
1.1%
Why It Matters
Yield translates dividend income into a percentage of the price paid, which is central to income-first screening.
Formula
Annual Dividends per Share / Stock Price x 100Method
Use the 6-year average annual dividend for consistency and compare the result with the 6% framework requirement.
Worked Example
With a 6-year average annual dividend of $0.24 and a share price of $32.02, the Barsi yield is 0.8%. The minimum requirement is 6%. Including franking credits, the gross yield is 1.1%.
How to Interpret
Higher sustainable yield improves upfront income, but unusually high yields may reflect elevated risk or weak coverage.
Low yield means you need significant capital to generate meaningful income. Barsi's strategy focuses on stocks that provide substantial cash flow from day one.
Sources
Track record of consistent dividend payments
| Ex-Date | Pay Date | Gross | Franking | Net | Credit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ~24 Aug 2026Est | ~17 Sept 2026 | ~$0.20 | 100% | ~$0.14 | $0.06 |
| ~22 Feb 2027Est | ~12 Mar 2027 | ~$0.15 | 100% | ~$0.10 | $0.04 |
| Ex-Date | Pay Date | Gross | Franking | Net | Credit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2026Interim | 12 Mar 2026 | $0.28 | 100% | $0.20 | $0.08 |
| 2 Sept 2025Final | 17 Sept 2025 | $0.23 | 100% | $0.16 | $0.07 |
| 28 Feb 2025Interim | 4 Apr 2025 | $0.18 | 100% | $0.13 | $0.05 |
| 3 Sept 2024Final | 8 Oct 2024 | $0.17 | 100% | $0.12 | $0.05 |
| 26 Feb 2024Interim | 12 Mar 2024 | $0.15 | 100% | $0.10 | $0.04 |
| 5 Sept 2023Final | 20 Sept 2023 | $0.14 | 100% | $0.10 | $0.04 |
| 23 Feb 2023Interim | 30 Mar 2023 | $0.13 | 100% | $0.09 | $0.04 |
| 25 Aug 2022Final | 7 Sept 2022 | $0.21 | 100% | $0.15 | $0.06 |
| 23 Feb 2022Interim | 10 Mar 2022 | $0.19 | 100% | $0.13 | $0.06 |
| 25 Aug 2021Final | 29 Sept 2021 | $0.24 | 100% | $0.17 | $0.07 |
Excellent track record. 11 years of consistent dividends through multiple market cycles.
Current Snapshot
History
11yr
Predictability
Stable
Payout Health
Sustainable
Why It Matters
Payment consistency is a direct test of dividend reliability. Large cuts or skips often appear before confidence recovers.
Formula
Consecutive Years = count of years with dividend payments and no disqualifying skip/cut eventsMethod
Require at least 6 years of history, then check for skipped years and large cuts, allowing approved systemic-event exceptions.
Worked Example
This company has 11 years of dividend history (2016–2026). No suspensions detected — 11 consecutive years of payments. Predictability: Stable. Payout health: Sustainable. The minimum requirement is 6 years.
How to Interpret
Longer uninterrupted records generally signal stronger income reliability than high yield alone.
A 11-year track record through multiple economic cycles gives confidence your income will continue. This company has proven it prioritises shareholder returns.
Sources
Highest price to lock in 6% yield
Current price ($32.02) is 701% above the ceiling. Wait for a drop to lock in 6% yield.
Current Snapshot
Current Price
$32.02
Max Buy Price
$4.00
Delta
-700.5%
Why It Matters
The price ceiling links valuation discipline to income targets by defining the price that aligns with a 6% yield target.
Formula
6-Year Average Annual Dividend / 0.06Method
Use the 6-year average dividend (not one year) and divide by 0.06 to estimate the maximum entry price for target yield.
Worked Example
With a current price of $32.02 and a ceiling of $4.00, the entry is 700.5% above the ceiling.
How to Interpret
Prices below the ceiling imply a historical yield above 6%; prices above it imply a lower historical yield at entry.
At this price, you won't achieve Barsi's target 6% yield. Consider waiting for a pullback — market volatility often creates more favourable valuations for patient investors.
Sources
Industry category of the business
Technology is not a BESST sector. Non-BESST stocks receive a lower base score but can still qualify with exceptional dividend metrics.
Current Snapshot
Industry
Scientific & Technical Instruments
BESST Match
No
Score Impact
No bonus
Why It Matters
Sector classification helps contextualise risk and demand durability, which can materially affect dividend stability.
Formula
BESST Match = Sector in {Banks, Energy, Sanitation, Insurance, Telecom}Method
Match company sector or industry against BESST categories. A match adds scoring support but does not replace core dividend checks.
Worked Example
This company operates in Scientific & Technical Instruments (Technology sector). It does not match a BESST sector, so it receives the standard base score. Non-BESST stocks can still qualify with strong dividend metrics.
How to Interpret
BESST alignment is a positive context signal. Non-BESST stocks can still qualify with strong yield and dividend consistency.
Non-essential businesses face demand drops during recessions — discretionary spending is first to be cut. This increases cyclical risk for dividends, but companies with decades of consistent payments can still demonstrate durability.
Sources
How much of a company's earnings are paid out as dividends
A 40% payout is in the sustainable range (30–75%) — the company balances rewarding shareholders with reinvesting for growth. This gives the price ceiling calculation a stable base, which is a healthy sign for long-term dividend investors.
Current Snapshot
Latest Ratio
40.4%
Healthy Range
30%-75%
Zone
Healthy
Why It Matters
Payout ratio links dividends to earnings capacity and helps evaluate whether current distributions are likely to remain supportable.
Formula
Payout Ratio (%) = (Annual Dividend per Share / Earnings per Share) x 100Method
Calculate year-by-year payout ratios where EPS is positive, classify each year by sustainability zone, and compare with the current TTM ratio.
Worked Example
$0.28 dividend / $0.57 EPS equals 50.2% payout ratio.
How to Interpret
Ratios in the middle range are usually more sustainable than very high ratios. Values above 100% indicate dividends exceeded earnings in that period.
A 40% payout is in the sustainable range (30–75%) — the company balances rewarding shareholders with reinvesting for growth. This gives the price ceiling calculation a stable base, which is a healthy sign for long-term dividend investors.
Sources
Stock is trading 184% ABOVE the fair-value threshold (includes 30% margin of safety) and above the estimated intrinsic value.
Current Snapshot
Current Margin
-98.9%
Industry Threshold
30%
Status
99% Overvalued
Why It Matters
Margin of safety provides a valuation buffer against modelling uncertainty and adverse business outcomes.
Formula
(Estimated Intrinsic Value per Share - Current Price) / Estimated Intrinsic Value per Share x 100Method
Estimate intrinsic value using a two-stage DCF (10-year projection plus terminal value), then compare with current price.
Worked Example
For this stock now: intrinsic value is $16.10 per share, current price is $32.02, and margin of safety is -98.9%.
How to Interpret
Positive margin indicates price below modelled value; negative margin indicates price above modelled value. Compare against the industry's required buffer.
The market price is above both your required threshold and intrinsic value estimate. Under this methodology, there is no valuation buffer for estimate error or market volatility.
Sources
Excellent. 10 positive years with 23.2% EPS growth rate. Predictable and growing earnings.
Current Snapshot
Positive Years
10/10
Allowed Losses
0
EPS CAGR
23.2%
Why It Matters
Consistency in EPS helps distinguish resilient earnings power from one-off performance spikes.
Formula
Positive EPS Years / Available EPS YearsMethod
For 8+ years of data, apply industry-specific loss tolerance. For limited data, every available year must be positive.
Worked Example
This company reported positive earnings in 10 of the last 10 years. The allowed loss tolerance for this industry is 0 years. EPS growth rate (CAGR) is 23.2%.
How to Interpret
Fewer loss years and stronger EPS continuity generally improve confidence in future dividend and valuation assumptions.
Consistent, growing profits mean predictable, growing dividends. You can forecast your income with confidence - and expect it to increase over time.
Sources
Manageable debt. Could pay off long-term debt in 1.4 years — comfortably within the 3-year threshold.
Current Snapshot
Payoff Years
1.4yr
Target Years
3yr
Gap
+1.6yr
Why It Matters
Debt payoff years converts leverage into an intuitive time measure, making debt burden easier to compare across stocks.
Formula
Long-Term Debt / Average Net Income (3yr)Method
Use current long-term debt and the 3-year average net income to smooth one-off profit noise.
Worked Example
With $118M in long-term debt and $84M in average annual earnings (3yr), it would take 1.4 years of earnings to pay off all debt. The technology & software threshold is 3 years.
How to Interpret
Lower values generally indicate stronger debt capacity. Very high values can constrain dividend resilience.
Debt is comfortably serviceable from earnings. This means interest payments won't crowd out dividends, even during moderate downturns.
Sources
CapEx consumes 39% of cumulative earnings — above the 25% threshold. This business requires heavy reinvestment just to maintain operations.
Current Snapshot
10Y CapEx Intensity
39%
Threshold
25%
Buffer
-14%
Why It Matters
CapEx intensity estimates how much of earnings must be reinvested just to sustain operations.
Formula
Cumulative CapEx (10yr) / Cumulative Net Income (10yr) x 100Method
Aggregate 10-year CapEx and net income, then compare the ratio with the sector threshold in the framework.
Worked Example
Over 10 years, 39% of this company's cumulative earnings were consumed by capital expenditure. The technology & software threshold is 25%, leaving a buffer of -14% (over threshold).
How to Interpret
Lower ratios usually indicate better cash conversion. Higher ratios can reduce room for dividends and buybacks.
High capital intensity means most earnings go back into equipment and infrastructure rather than dividends or growth. Buffett prefers businesses like See's Candies that generate cash without needing much reinvestment.
Sources
15.3% net margin is below the 20% threshold. Thin margins suggest weak competitive position or high costs.
Current Snapshot
Current Margin
15.3%
Threshold
20.0%
Relative Position
-4.7%
Why It Matters
Net income margin shows how much profit the business keeps from each dollar of revenue after all costs.
Formula
Net Income / Total Revenue x 100Method
Compare current margin with the industry-specific threshold to avoid cross-sector distortions.
Worked Example
This company's net income margin is 15.3% — it keeps 15 cents of every revenue dollar as profit after all expenses. The technology & software threshold is 20%, putting it 4.7% below the requirement.
How to Interpret
Margins that are both strong and stable can indicate competitive strength; persistent weakness may limit reinvestment and payout capacity.
Thin margins mean a small increase in costs or drop in prices could eliminate profits entirely. This puts dividends at risk because there's no buffer to absorb shocks.
Sources