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Abacus Group
Real Estate · REIT - Diversified
Updated 18 hours ago
$0.99
Abacus Group is a strong asset-backed, annuity style business model where capital is directed towards assets that provide potential for enhanced income growth and ultimately create value.
View full descriptionThe Warsi Rating combines two proven approaches: value investing principles and dividend strategy. A stock must score 70+ on both to be rated Solid or higher.
MARKET CAP
$884.72M
P/E RATIO
32.9
DIV. YIELD
8.5%
FRANKING
16%
10-year ROE trends, dividend history, price ceiling calculations, and every red flag explained.
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Acceptable. Debt level (0.60) is within this Buffett-inspired framework's limit of 2.
Current Snapshot
Current D/E
0.60x
Industry Limit
2.00x
Headroom
+1.40x
Why It Matters
Debt-to-equity shows balance-sheet risk. Lower leverage usually means more flexibility when earnings soften.
Formula
Total Debt / Shareholders' EquityMethod
Compare current D/E against the industry threshold used in the scoring framework, then assess remaining headroom.
Worked Example
This company's D/E is 0.60, meaning it carries 60 cents of debt for every $1 of equity. The real estate investment trusts limit is 2.00, leaving 1.40 of headroom.
How to Interpret
Lower values generally imply lower refinancing pressure and lower dividend stress in downturns.
Low debt means this company isn't at risk of cutting dividends to service loans during downturns. Your income stream is protected by a strong balance sheet.
Sources
Short-term assets vs. short-term debts
Strong liquidity. 3.91 ratio means ample cash to cover short-term obligations.
Current Snapshot
Current Ratio
3.91x
Warning Floor
1.00x
Target
1.50x
Why It Matters
Liquidity supports operational stability. Companies with weak liquidity can face pressure even when long-term fundamentals are sound.
Formula
Current Assets / Current LiabilitiesMethod
Compare the current ratio to the warning floor and target level used in the framework.
Worked Example
This company's current ratio is 3.91x — it has $3.91 in short-term assets for every $1 of short-term liabilities. The target is 1.5x, with a warning floor at 1.0x.
How to Interpret
Ratios above the target suggest healthier short-term resilience; ratios below 1.0x can indicate immediate funding risk.
Strong liquidity means the company can keep paying dividends even during temporary revenue drops. There's ample cash cushion to weather storms.
Sources
Real cash left after running the business
Positive cash generation. Company produces real cash after capital expenditures - can fund dividends, buybacks, or growth.
Current Snapshot
Current FCF
$65M
Pass Rule
> $0
Status
Positive
Why It Matters
Free cash flow is the cash available after core operating and capital needs. It is central to dividend capacity.
Formula
Operating Cash Flow - Capital ExpendituresMethod
Review whether free cash flow is consistently positive and whether it is sufficient relative to dividends and debt needs.
Worked Example
This company generated $65M in free cash flow — cash left after operating costs and capital expenditure. Positive FCF means dividends are funded by real cash generation.
How to Interpret
Persistently negative free cash flow can force reliance on borrowing or equity issuance to maintain payouts.
Positive cash flow means dividends are funded by actual money, not accounting profits. As Buffett says, "Cash is fact, profit is opinion." Your income is backed by real cash generation.
Sources
Profit generated per $1 of shareholder investment
6.9% average is below the 8% threshold. This suggests the business may lack a durable competitive advantage.
Current Snapshot
10Y Avg
6.9%
Threshold
8.0%
Worst Year
-15.0%
Why It Matters
ROE shows how effectively management turns shareholder capital into profit. High and stable ROE can signal pricing power, cost discipline, or both.
Formula
Net Income / Shareholders' Equity x 100Method
Use the 10-year average ROE and review the weakest year to check whether returns stayed resilient across cycles.
Worked Example
This company's 10-year average ROE is 6.9%, meaning each $1 of shareholder equity generates $0.07 in annual profit. The threshold is 8%, and the worst single year was -15.0%.
How to Interpret
Higher and steadier ROE generally supports stronger long-term compounding. Large drawdowns in weak years can point to fragility.
Lower ROE means your investment compounds more slowly. At 6.9%, this business needs more capital to generate the same returns as competitors. Consider whether other strengths (yield, stability) compensate for weaker profitability.
Sources
Price versus estimated intrinsic value and required return thresholds.
What percentage of the stock price comes back as earnings each year
3.0% earnings yield is below the 7.5% threshold. You'd earn nearly as much from safer government bonds, which means the extra risk of owning shares isn't being compensated.
Current Snapshot
Current Yield
3.0%
Required Yield
7.5%
Spread
-4.5pp
Why It Matters
Earnings yield reframes valuation as return on price paid. It helps compare equity earnings power against lower-risk alternatives.
Formula
(Earnings per Share / Stock Price) x 100Method
Calculate current earnings yield, then compare it to the required yield for the stock's industry setting.
Worked Example
With EPS of $0.03 and a share price of $0.99, earnings yield is 3.0%. The required yield for this industry is 7.5% (based on 4.5% government bond rate plus a risk premium).
How to Interpret
A yield above the required level suggests better valuation support; below it indicates thinner compensation for equity risk.
Returns don't justify the added risk compared to safe bonds. Consider whether the dividend yield alone compensates, or wait for a better price.
Sources
How current price compares with estimated intrinsic value
Consistency of profits over time
9 positive EPS years meets predictability requirement. Buffett can forecast this business.
Current Snapshot
Positive Years
9/10
Allowed Losses
1
EPS CAGR
-26.0%
Why It Matters
Consistency in EPS helps distinguish resilient earnings power from one-off performance spikes.
Formula
Positive EPS Years / Available EPS YearsMethod
For 8+ years of data, apply industry-specific loss tolerance. For limited data, every available year must be positive.
Worked Example
This company reported positive earnings in 9 of the last 10 years, with 1 loss year. The allowed loss tolerance for this industry is 1 year. EPS growth rate (CAGR) is -26.0%.
How to Interpret
Fewer loss years and stronger EPS continuity generally improve confidence in future dividend and valuation assumptions.
Consistent profits mean predictable dividends. You can forecast your income with confidence - this company has proven it can generate earnings reliably.
Sources
Percentage of revenue that becomes profit after all expenses
Is the business growing — and is debt being managed responsibly?
Revenue declining while debt is rising — this combination puts dividend payments at risk. The company may be borrowing to maintain its dividend.
Current Snapshot
Revenue Change
-45.2%
Debt Change
+43.3%
Trend State
Weakening
Why It Matters
Revenue trend shows whether the business is expanding or contracting. Debt trend adds context on whether growth is being funded conservatively.
Formula
Revenue Change (%) = (Latest Revenue - Earliest Revenue) / |Earliest Revenue| x 100; Debt Change (%) = (Latest Debt - Earliest Debt) / |Earliest Debt| x 100Method
Map annual revenue history and, where relevant, annual debt history. For financial companies, debt is excluded because deposits and reserves distort this signal.
Worked Example
Revenue changed by -45.2% across the displayed period, while debt changed by +43.3%.
How to Interpret
Rising revenue with stable or falling debt is typically stronger than rising revenue funded by rapidly rising leverage.
Revenue declining while debt is rising — this combination puts dividend payments at risk. The company may be borrowing to maintain its dividend.
Sources
12.84% yield significantly exceeds Barsi's 6% minimum. Based on 6-year average, not one-time spikes.
Current Snapshot
6Y Avg Yield
12.8%
6% Requirement
6.0%
Gross Yield
13.7%
Why It Matters
Yield translates dividend income into a percentage of the price paid, which is central to income-first screening.
Formula
Annual Dividends per Share / Stock Price x 100Method
Use the 6-year average annual dividend for consistency and compare the result with the 6% framework requirement.
Worked Example
With a 6-year average annual dividend of $0.13 and a share price of $0.99, the Barsi yield is 12.8%. The minimum requirement is 6%. Including franking credits, the gross yield is 13.7%.
How to Interpret
Higher sustainable yield improves upfront income, but unusually high yields may reflect elevated risk or weak coverage.
Very high yields can signal trouble — the stock price may have dropped because the market expects a dividend cut. Verify the payout ratio is sustainable and the company can maintain this level of distributions before relying on this income.
Sources
Track record of consistent dividend payments
| Ex-Date | Pay Date | Gross | Franking | Net | Credit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ~6 Aug 2026Est | ~3 Sept 2026 | ~$0.08 | 49% | ~$0.06 | $0.01 |
| ~15 Mar 2027Est | ~12 Apr 2027 | ~$0.08 | 49% | ~$0.06 | $0.01 |
| Ex-Date | Pay Date | Gross | Franking | Net | Credit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025Interim | 27 Feb 2026 | $0.05 | 50% | $0.04 | $0.01 |
| 30 June 2025Final | 4 Aug 2025 | $0.05 | 49% | $0.04 | $0.01 |
| 30 Dec 2024Interim | 3 Feb 2025 | $0.05 | 49% | $0.04 | $0.01 |
| 28 June 2024Final | 2 Aug 2024 | $0.05 | 49% | $0.04 | $0.01 |
| 28 Dec 2023Interim | 1 Feb 2024 | $0.04 | 0% | $0.04 | $0.00 |
| 29 Dec 2022Interim | 2 Feb 2023 | $0.09 | 0% | $0.09 | $0.00 |
| 30 June 2022Final | 4 Aug 2022 | $0.09 | 0% | $0.09 | $0.00 |
| 30 Dec 2021Special | 3 Feb 2022 | $0.09 | 0% | $0.09 | $0.00 |
| 23 Aug 2021Final | 27 Sept 2021 | $0.01 | 0% | $0.01 | $0.00 |
| 29 June 2021Special | 3 Aug 2021 | $0.09 | 0% | $0.09 | $0.00 |
Excellent track record. 10 years of consistent dividends through multiple market cycles.
Current Snapshot
History
10yr
Predictability
Variable
Payout Health
One-off event
Why It Matters
Payment consistency is a direct test of dividend reliability. Large cuts or skips often appear before confidence recovers.
Formula
Consecutive Years = count of years with dividend payments and no disqualifying skip/cut eventsMethod
Require at least 6 years of history, then check for skipped years and large cuts, allowing approved systemic-event exceptions.
Worked Example
This company has 10 years of dividend history (2016–2025). No suspensions detected — 10 consecutive years of payments. Predictability: Variable. Payout health: One-off event. The minimum requirement is 6 years.
How to Interpret
Longer uninterrupted records generally signal stronger income reliability than high yield alone.
A 10-year track record through multiple economic cycles gives confidence your income will continue. This company has proven it prioritises shareholder returns.
Sources
Highest price to lock in 6% yield
Priced well below ceiling. 53% below means you're locking in well over 6% yield.
Current Snapshot
Current Price
$0.99
Max Buy Price
$2.12
Delta
+53.3%
Why It Matters
The price ceiling links valuation discipline to income targets by defining the price that aligns with a 6% yield target.
Formula
6-Year Average Annual Dividend / 0.06Method
Use the 6-year average dividend (not one year) and divide by 0.06 to estimate the maximum entry price for target yield.
Worked Example
With a current price of $0.99 and a ceiling of $2.12, the entry is 53.3% below the ceiling.
How to Interpret
Prices below the ceiling imply a historical yield above 6%; prices above it imply a lower historical yield at entry.
Buying this far below the ceiling locks in a yield well above 6% based on proven historical dividends. Your income starts strong from day one.
Sources
Industry category of the business
Real Estate is not a BESST sector. Non-BESST stocks receive a lower base score but can still qualify with exceptional dividend metrics.
Current Snapshot
Industry
REIT - Diversified
BESST Match
No
Score Impact
No bonus
Why It Matters
Sector classification helps contextualise risk and demand durability, which can materially affect dividend stability.
Formula
BESST Match = Sector in {Banks, Energy, Sanitation, Insurance, Telecom}Method
Match company sector or industry against BESST categories. A match adds scoring support but does not replace core dividend checks.
Worked Example
This company operates in REIT - Diversified (Real Estate sector). It does not match a BESST sector, so it receives the standard base score. Non-BESST stocks can still qualify with strong dividend metrics.
How to Interpret
BESST alignment is a positive context signal. Non-BESST stocks can still qualify with strong yield and dividend consistency.
Non-essential businesses face demand drops during recessions — discretionary spending is first to be cut. This increases cyclical risk for dividends, but companies with decades of consistent payments can still demonstrate durability.
Sources
How much of a company's earnings are paid out as dividends
A 95% payout means the company distributes most of its earnings as dividends — more income per share now, but less room for growth. Around 67% is often considered “normal” for established companies. This level feeds directly into the price ceiling calculation.
Current Snapshot
Latest Ratio
94.7%
Healthy Range
30%-75%
Zone
Elevated
Why It Matters
Payout ratio links dividends to earnings capacity and helps evaluate whether current distributions are likely to remain supportable.
Formula
Payout Ratio (%) = (Annual Dividend per Share / Earnings per Share) x 100Method
Calculate year-by-year payout ratios where EPS is positive, classify each year by sustainability zone, and compare with the current TTM ratio.
Worked Example
$0.09 dividend / $0.03 EPS equals 282.4% payout ratio.
How to Interpret
Ratios in the middle range are usually more sustainable than very high ratios. Values above 100% indicate dividends exceeded earnings in that period.
A 95% payout means the company distributes most of its earnings as dividends — more income per share now, but less room for growth. Around 67% is often considered “normal” for established companies. This level feeds directly into the price ceiling calculation.
Sources
Stock is trading 105% ABOVE the fair-value threshold (includes 30% margin of safety) and above the estimated intrinsic value.
Current Snapshot
Current Margin
-43.5%
Industry Threshold
30%
Status
43% Overvalued
Why It Matters
Margin of safety provides a valuation buffer against modelling uncertainty and adverse business outcomes.
Formula
(Estimated Intrinsic Value per Share - Current Price) / Estimated Intrinsic Value per Share x 100Method
Estimate intrinsic value using a two-stage DCF (10-year projection plus terminal value), then compare with current price.
Worked Example
For this stock now: intrinsic value is $0.69 per share, current price is $0.99, and margin of safety is -43.5%.
How to Interpret
Positive margin indicates price below modelled value; negative margin indicates price above modelled value. Compare against the industry's required buffer.
The market price is above both your required threshold and intrinsic value estimate. Under this methodology, there is no valuation buffer for estimate error or market volatility.
Sources
17.6% net margin meets the 15% threshold but with limited buffer. A small cost increase could push it below.
Current Snapshot
Current Margin
17.6%
Threshold
15.0%
Relative Position
+2.6%
Why It Matters
Net income margin shows how much profit the business keeps from each dollar of revenue after all costs.
Formula
Net Income / Total Revenue x 100Method
Compare current margin with the industry-specific threshold to avoid cross-sector distortions.
Worked Example
This company's net income margin is 17.6% — it keeps 18 cents of every revenue dollar as profit after all expenses. The real estate investment trusts threshold is 15%, putting it 2.6% above the requirement.
How to Interpret
Margins that are both strong and stable can indicate competitive strength; persistent weakness may limit reinvestment and payout capacity.
Margins clear the threshold but are on the lower end. Monitor for consistency — if costs rise or revenue softens, profitability could dip below acceptable levels.
Sources